Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.037738 0.041059 0.044402 0.048015 0.051802 0.055649 0.059847
2025-11-02 0.030935 0.035708 0.040680 0.046223 0.052205 0.058445 0.065424
2025-11-09 0.026527 0.032331 0.038564 0.045703 0.053598 0.062012 0.071610
2025-11-16 0.023154 0.029703 0.036939 0.045425 0.055011 0.065415 0.077474
2025-11-23 0.021387 0.028670 0.036911 0.046768 0.058091 0.070556 0.085184
2025-11-30 0.019763 0.027628 0.036727 0.047809 0.060730 0.075133 0.092215
2025-12-07 0.018172 0.026472 0.036286 0.048442 0.062815 0.079018 0.098420
2025-12-14 0.016518 0.025100 0.035471 0.048534 0.064187 0.082024 0.103576
2025-12-21 0.015583 0.024550 0.035587 0.049681 0.066756 0.086380 0.110261
2025-12-28 0.013864 0.022862 0.034192 0.048905 0.066963 0.087928 0.113652
2026-01-04 0.012766 0.021912 0.033658 0.049130 0.068324 0.090795 0.118552
2026-01-11 0.011956 0.021291 0.033498 0.049779 0.070171 0.094215 0.124088
2026-01-18 0.011159 0.020659 0.033317 0.050416 0.072036 0.097713 0.129797
2026-01-25 0.009559 0.018767 0.031379 0.048736 0.070982 0.097668 0.131278
2026-02-01 0.008544 0.017653 0.030426 0.048279 0.071413 0.099390 0.134849
2026-02-08 0.007692 0.016717 0.029665 0.048030 0.072074 0.101371 0.138716
2026-02-15 0.007430 0.016684 0.030156 0.049438 0.074845 0.105943 0.145724
2026-02-22 0.007091 0.016500 0.030414 0.050523 0.077197 0.110001 0.152118
2026-03-01 0.006655 0.016122 0.030371 0.051182 0.078990 0.113364 0.157668
2026-03-08 0.006098 0.015496 0.029934 0.051279 0.080035 0.115787 0.162067
2026-03-15 0.005868 0.015417 0.030292 0.052467 0.082504 0.119991 0.168658
2026-03-22 0.005159 0.014429 0.029246 0.051665 0.082331 0.120862 0.171136
2026-03-29 0.004752 0.013953 0.028952 0.051897 0.083511 0.123428 0.175702